منابع مشابه
Option-Implied Currency Risk Premia
We use cross-sectional information on the prices of G10 currency options to calibrate a non-Gaussian model of pricing kernel dynamics and construct estimates of conditional currency risk premia. We find that the mean historical returns to short dollar and carry factors (HMLFX ) are statistically indistinguishable from their option-implied counterparts, which are free from peso problems. Skewnes...
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Does the common currency promote goods market integration within the EMU? We argue that such an effect is likely, but that the mechanism typically proposed – lover costs of arbitrage because of increased price transparency – is likely to be of minor importance. Instead we sketch a duopoly model which stresses that lover possibility of future real exchange rate variability lowers the option valu...
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The downside risk CAPM (DR-CAPM) can price the cross section of currency returns. The market-beta differential between high and low interest rate currencies is higher conditional on bad market returns, when the market price of risk is also high, than it is conditional on good market returns. Correctly accounting for this variation is crucial for the empirical performance of the model. The DR-CA...
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Significant time-varying risk premia exist in the foreign currency futures basis, and these risk premia are meaningfully correlated with common macroeconomic risk factors from equity and bond markets. The stock index dividend yield and the bond default and term spreads in the U.S. markets help forecast the risk premium component of the foreign currency futures basis. The specific source of risk...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0022-1090,1756-6916
DOI: 10.1017/s0022109017000424